What China’s Economic Slowdown Means for Key Countries
Case Studies

This chapter presents five case studies analyzing the implications of a slowdown in the domestic economy of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) for a diverse set of countries: Brazil, Germany, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Paraguay. These countries were selected to cover a range of geographic regions, levels of economic development, and engagement with the PRC. By investigating these representative cases, this chapter highlights the different channels through which the effects of a Chinese economic slowdown would unfold globally.

Each case evaluates the patterns of economic interdependence with the PRC, assesses the vulnerabilities resulting from reduced Chinese demand and investments, and considers policy options for governments to navigate the slowdown. Collectively, the case studies provide a framework for understanding the global ramifications of a Chinese economic slowdown and offer policymakers guidance to mitigate risks and leverage new opportunities.