NBR Special Report no. 67

North Korea and Asia's Evolving Nuclear Landscape
Challenges to Regional Stability

by Aaron L. Friedberg, Christopher P. Twomey, Matthew Kroenig, Michito Tsuruoka, J. James Kim, Sugio Takahashi, Jina Kim, and Robert Jervis

August 2, 2017

This NBR Special Report provides assessments of Asia’s emerging nuclear dynamics from U.S., Japanese, and South Korean scholars. Each essay analyzes the complex set of factors shaping the evolving nuclear landscape and draws implications for U.S. and regional policymakers

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Introduction: North Korea and Asia’s Evolving Nuclear Landscape

Robert Jervis

The Asian Nuclear System in Comparative and Theoretical Context

Christopher P. Twomey

Japan’s New Nuclear Deterrence Challenges: The Implications of Russia’s Nuclear Saber-Rattling and NATO’s Response

Michito Tsuruoka

Thinking about the Unthinkable: The Case of the Korean Peninsula

Sugio Takahashi

North Korea’s Nuclear Posture and Its Implications for the U.S.-ROK Alliance

Jina Kim

Domestic and Regional Constraints on South Korea’s Approach to North Korea

J. James Kim

Toward a Common Strategy for Deterring a Nuclear North Korea

Matthew Kroenig

Conclusion: The North Korean Crisis and the Second Nuclear Age

Aaron L. Friedberg